默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-06-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 53.78%1.86公平赔率

EV -1.04%

优势 -0.563%

Kelly -1.23%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布

50.80%53.87%53.69%56.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.691.751.741.8459.17%57.18%57.47%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 46.22%2.16公平赔率

EV +1.21%

优势 +0.553%

Kelly +1.02%

增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布

43.85%46.13%46.31%49.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.902.052.052.1952.63%48.90%48.78%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：53.78%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：46.22%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.19，对应+1.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +1.21%E +0.553%K +1.02%G +0.012%	4.1%	2026-06-02 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.638%E -0.297%K -0.555%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-02 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.638%E -0.297%K -0.555%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-02 08:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.65%E -1.46%K -3.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-02 08:40
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-02 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:10
BetRivers🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:10
Unibet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.49%E -4.35%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-02 07:20
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.03%E -4.69%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-02 07:20
1xBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.65%E -1.46%K -3.27%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-02 08:50
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.33%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-02 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-02 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-02 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-02 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-02 08:50
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.26%E -2.57%K -5.01%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-02 06:20
Betsson🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-02 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.19%E -1.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-02 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-02 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.80%E -2.71%K -6.23%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-02 08:50
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-02 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-02 08:50
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-02 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-02 08:49
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.95%E -4.02%K -9.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-02 06:20
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.88%E -3.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-02 08:49
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.41%E -3.69%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-02 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.10%E -5.39%K -13.19%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-02 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -1.04%E -0.563%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -12.19%E -6.42%K -13.55%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-02 08:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。