L’École des cotes

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Local)

Prévision 39.96%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.09%40.13%39.82%43.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.192.342.352.4645.66%42.82%42.55%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.04%1.67cote équitable
EV +2.67%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.15%59.87%60.18%60.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.581.571.7167.11%63.30%63.69%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -12.49%E -5.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +2.67%E +1.56%K +3.76%G +0.101%4.1%2026-07-04 01:10
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 08:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.73%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 15:58
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.10%E -0.858%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.33%E -2.07%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 08:40
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.10%E -0.858%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.33%E -2.07%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 08:40
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.70%E -0.692%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 08:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 08:40
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.93%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.10%E -0.858%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.53%E -2.85%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 08:40
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.13%E -3.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:45
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 08:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 08:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 08:45
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:50
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:40
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 08:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 08:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 08:45
MyBookie.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 08:48
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:40
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 08:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 08:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.54%E -4.89%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 08:35
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 08:35
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:39
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.74%E -5.75%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.74%E -5.75%K -16.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 08:50
Betclic (FR)2.19I 45.66%NM 40.49%EV -12.49%E -5.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.51%EV -10.54%E -7.07%K -21.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-04 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.