默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-05-17 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (主队)

预测 42.92%2.33公平赔率

EV -2.14%

优势 -0.937%

Kelly -1.67%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布

41.56%43.01%42.41%46.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.012.192.202.2849.75%45.75%45.45%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 57.08%1.75公平赔率

EV +0.457%

优势 +0.260%

Kelly +0.601%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

53.32%56.99%57.59%58.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.651.631.7664.52%60.60%61.54%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (主队)：42.92%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：57.08%。对于“Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.75。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.76，对应+0.457%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -13.73%E -6.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV +0.457%E +0.260%K +0.601%G +0.003%	6.6%	2026-05-17 03:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -6.00%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -0.114%E -0.065%K -0.152%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-05-17 03:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.685%E -0.394%K -0.925%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-17 03:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.685%E -0.394%K -0.925%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-17 03:34
1xBet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -6.43%E -2.95%K -5.45%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.26%E -0.726%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-17 03:35
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-17 03:55
DraftKings🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-17 03:34
Betsson🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
NordicBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-17 03:30
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.54%E -2.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-17 03:40
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-05-17 03:35
William Hill🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.14%E -0.937%K -1.67%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.25%E -3.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-17 03:55
Everygame🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.86%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-17 03:35
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.14%E -0.937%K -1.67%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-17 03:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-17 03:23
Caesars🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-16 18:36
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-17 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-17 01:10
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-17 03:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-17 03:10
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-17 03:10
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-17 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-17 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-17 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:45
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:50
Unibet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-16 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-17 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 56.94%EV -11.53%E -7.44%K -20.96%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-05-17 03:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。