默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-19 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 52.20%1.92公平赔率

EV -2.39%

优势 -1.28%

Kelly -2.75%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%52.14%52.20%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.36%54.95%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 47.80%2.09公平赔率

EV -2.96%

优势 -1.46%

Kelly -2.87%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布

46.09%47.86%47.80%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.951.952.0354.05%51.24%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：52.20%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：47.80%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.87，期望值为-2.39%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-18 21:55
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-18 13:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.96%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-19 08:44
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-19 07:49
BetUS🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -2.91%E -1.57%K -3.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-19 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.92%E -1.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-19 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.92%E -1.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-19 08:49
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-19 07:59
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-18 21:50
NordicBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 08:14
Betsson🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 08:14
FanDuel🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 08:05
Coolbet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 08:54
Unibet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.31%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-19 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:09
BetRivers🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-19 08:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.82%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-19 08:09
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 08:00
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 08:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 07:59
Bovada🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-19 08:09
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 07:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-19 07:59
Fliff🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-19 08:09
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.18%E -5.27%K -12.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-19 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.70%E -5.61%K -13.29%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-19 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.20%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-19 08:04
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.74%E -6.28%K -15.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-19 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.09%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-19 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。