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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 54.21%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -3.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%54.14%54.20%55.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.39%57.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 45.79%2.18公平赔率
EV -0.183%
优势 -0.084%
Kelly -0.155%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
44.10%45.86%45.80%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.052.052.1852.36%48.83%48.78%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：54.21%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：45.79%。 对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.184。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.180，期望值为-0.183%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 04:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.34%E -4.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.42%E -1.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:18
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.50%E -1.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.01%E -0.941%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 07:50
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.50%E -1.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.34%E -4.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 07:50
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.59%E -2.61%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 06:25
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 07:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 07:30
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.85%E -1.83%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:55
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:50
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 07:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 07:50
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 07:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 03:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 07:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 03:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 03:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 03:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.75%E -3.93%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.183%E -0.084%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 07:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.75%E -3.93%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.183%E -0.084%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 07:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.56%E -0.724%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 07:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 04:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.14%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 07:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.47%E -5.67%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.13%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.65%EV -10.55%E -6.39%K -16.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -12.55%E -6.57%K -13.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 07:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。