默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-08 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 46.37%2.16公平赔率

EV -1.23%

优势 -0.576%

Kelly -1.09%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布

45.33%46.41%46.38%47.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.902.022.002.1352.63%49.54%50.00%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 53.63%1.86公平赔率

EV -2.93%

优势 -1.62%

Kelly -3.62%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布

52.27%53.59%53.62%54.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.661.761.771.8160.24%56.87%56.50%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：46.37%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：53.63%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.13，期望值为-1.23%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.23%E -0.576%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 23:49
William Hill🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.54%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-07 14:40
1xBet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.93%E -1.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-08 04:10
FanDuel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 07:25
NordicBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 02:10
Betsson🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 02:10
Coolbet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.54%E -2.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 08:55
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 05:50
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.83%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-07 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.86%E -2.89%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:20
BetRivers🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:20
Unibet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:20
Bally Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 15:25
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 07:25
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 13:28
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-08 08:05
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 07:25
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-07 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-07 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.22%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-07 13:30
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-08 08:55
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 18:15
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-07 23:54
BetUS🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -9.11%E -4.65%K -9.49%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-08 08:55
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.20%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-07 23:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.50%E -5.44%K -11.29%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.37%E -5.54%K -13.58%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-08 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.89%E -6.26%K -13.21%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.98%E -6.61%K -16.63%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-08 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。