默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 09:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

50%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 50.04%2.00公平赔率

EV -2.92%

优势 -1.50%

Kelly -3.10%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布

48.65%50.09%50.00%51.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.771.861.871.9456.50%53.66%53.48%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 49.96%2.00公平赔率

EV -1.59%

优势 -0.805%

Kelly -1.64%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布

48.54%49.91%50.00%51.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.771.891.911.9756.50%52.88%52.36%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：50.04%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：49.96%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.00。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.97，期望值为-1.59%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.10%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-09 08:30
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:28
FanDuel🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:30
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:30
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.42%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-09 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.92%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.08%E -5.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-09 08:28
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.42%E -2.87%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.59%E -0.805%K -1.64%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-09 08:24
Coolbet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.42%E -2.87%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.08%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-09 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:55
NordicBet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.08%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 08:54
Betsson🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.08%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.92%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.58%E -2.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:33
BoyleSports🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:29
ReBet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:29
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:29
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:24
888sport🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-09 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-09 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-09 08:55
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.42%E -4.01%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-09 08:29
Unibet🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -7.92%E -4.30%K -9.43%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-09 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 08:24
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 08:24
PMU (FR)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 08:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 08:24
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.58%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-09 08:29
Betway🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.42%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-09 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.08%E -5.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-09 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 50.00%EV -11.42%E -6.45%K -14.83%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 50.00%EV -11.58%E -6.54%K -15.04%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-09 08:32

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。