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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 53.39%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.40%53.48%53.46%55.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.771.771.8558.14%56.56%56.50%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 46.61%2.15公平赔率
EV -0.260%
优势 -0.122%
Kelly -0.228%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布
44.85%46.52%46.54%49.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.012.002.1453.19%49.74%50.00%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：53.39%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：46.61%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.15。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.14，期望值为-0.260%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -1.22%E -0.661%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -12.38%E -6.58%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:24
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -1.76%E -0.955%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:49
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 08:55
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 10:53
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 23:54
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 23:54
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 08:50
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 10:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 10:25
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 10:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.50%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 07:42
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -7.25%E -3.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 08:54
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.12%E -4.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.260%E -0.122%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 23:55
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.12%E -4.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 10:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 10:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 08:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 23:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -10.05%E -5.21%K -10.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 08:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。