默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 41.62%2.40公平赔率

EV +3.23%

优势 +1.30%

Kelly +2.18%

增长率 +0.070%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布

39.22%41.55%41.68%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.082.262.252.4848.08%44.16%44.44%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 58.38%1.71公平赔率

EV -2.51%

优势 -1.51%

Kelly -3.75%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

56.85%58.45%58.32%60.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.541.611.621.6764.94%62.10%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：41.62%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：58.38%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.40。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.48，对应+3.23%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.23%E +1.30%K +2.18%G +0.070%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -11.00%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-14 08:24
LowVig.ag🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +3.23%E +1.30%K +2.18%G +0.070%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -11.00%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-14 08:24
Pinnacle🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.35%E -0.569%K -0.985%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-14 08:44
1xBet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-13 17:59
FanDuel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-13 14:25
Betsson🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-13 14:19
NordicBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-13 14:19
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-13 15:40
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-13 23:59
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.18%E -4.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 14:46
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.52%E -6.14%K -17.31%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-14 08:24
Coolbet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.51%E -2.43%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 04:14
BetUS🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.93%E -2.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-14 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-13 14:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-13 14:24
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:53
PMU (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
Unibet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-13 14:24
ReBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-14 08:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-13 14:25
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-13 23:38
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.51%E -1.51%K -3.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-13 14:14
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-13 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-13 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-13 14:25
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-13 18:09
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.93%E -5.73%K -15.95%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 42.54%EV -13.42%E -6.45%K -12.43%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 57.46%EV -10.10%E -6.56%K -18.71%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-14 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。