默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-05-19 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 42.25%2.37公平赔率

EV -2.82%

优势 -1.22%

Kelly -2.17%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

40.26%42.19%42.26%43.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.232.232.3048.78%44.93%44.84%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 57.75%1.73公平赔率

EV -2.41%

优势 -1.43%

Kelly -3.49%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

56.36%57.81%57.74%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.31%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：42.25%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：57.75%。对于“Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.73。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.69，期望值为-2.41%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.99%E -1.78%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-19 08:40
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 06:29
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 07:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.82%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.08%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-19 06:30
William Hill🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-19 06:19
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-19 07:50
1xBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -4.51%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 08:00
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-19 07:40
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-19 07:40
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-19 07:50
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-18 13:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 07:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:00
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:10
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 08:10
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-18 13:22
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-19 07:38
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-18 23:20
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 08:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 07:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 07:50
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-18 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-18 13:19
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-19 06:30
Everygame🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.61%E -4.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-19 06:19
BetUS🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.31%E -3.83%K -7.10%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.99%E -1.78%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-19 08:30
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.52%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-18 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 56.94%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.08%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-05-19 08:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。