默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 09:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 43.20%2.31公平赔率

EV -2.37%

优势 -1.05%

Kelly -1.88%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%43.12%43.13%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.032.182.202.2649.26%45.83%45.45%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 56.80%1.76公平赔率

EV -2.87%

优势 -1.68%

Kelly -4.04%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%56.88%56.87%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.58%60.61%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：43.20%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：56.80%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.26，期望值为-2.37%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.05%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.44%E -2.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-28 08:45
1xBet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.44%E -2.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-28 07:50
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
Unibet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.67%E -1.64%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.41%E -4.55%K -11.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.10%E -1.85%K -3.36%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.14%E -3.08%K -7.67%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-27 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.53%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.87%E -1.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-27 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.53%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.87%E -1.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-27 13:15
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-28 08:50
Betsson🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 06:25
NordicBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.57%E -2.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 06:25
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.28%E -3.80%K -9.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 01:15
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-27 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-27 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-27 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.96%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-28 08:51
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.39%E -2.46%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.71%E -3.44%K -8.65%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-27 15:34
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.01%E -2.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-27 13:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.14%E -3.08%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-27 13:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.14%E -3.08%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-27 13:10
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.14%E -3.08%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.14%E -3.08%K -7.67%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-27 13:30
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.28%E -3.80%K -9.66%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-28 08:05
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.98%E -4.93%K -12.87%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-27 18:05
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.55%E -5.31%K -14.02%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-28 01:14
BetUS🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.87%E -1.68%K -4.04%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 08:50
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.98%E -4.93%K -12.87%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-28 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.90%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.12%E -5.70%K -15.20%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.31%E -6.06%K -11.95%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.82%E -6.89%K -18.99%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-28 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。