默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-30 05:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 42.29%2.36公平赔率

EV +1.51%

优势 +0.628%

Kelly +1.08%

增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

40.26%42.28%42.31%45.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.072.202.202.4048.31%45.35%45.45%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 57.71%1.73公平赔率

EV -0.170%

优势 -0.098%

Kelly -0.233%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布

54.59%57.72%57.69%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.651.651.7364.52%60.75%60.61%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：42.29%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：57.71%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.36。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.40，对应+1.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.51%E +0.628%K +1.08%G +0.016%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 04:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.51%E +0.628%K +1.08%G +0.016%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 04:35
Pinnacle🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.30%E -0.995%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-30 04:30
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.63%E -2.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 04:15
FanDuel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-30 04:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.56%E -6.81%K -19.19%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-30 04:05
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.99%E -1.76%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-30 04:30
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 04:15
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 04:00
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 04:25
Coolbet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 04:50
BetUS🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.26%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-30 03:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.26%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.94%E -3.64%K -9.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-30 04:29
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.63%E -2.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 04:54
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-30 04:55
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-29 23:05
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-30 04:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-30 02:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-30 03:00
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-30 03:00
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 04:15
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-30 02:55
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-29 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.18%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.40%E -5.99%K -16.50%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-30 04:45
PMU (FR)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:54
Unibet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:54
BetRivers🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -12.03%E -5.78%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-30 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -12.45%E -6.01%K -11.64%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -10.56%E -6.81%K -19.19%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-30 04:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。