默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-08-11 05:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

55%

45%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 55.36%1.81公平赔率

EV -2.57%

优势 -1.46%

Kelly -3.38%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

53.62%55.33%55.34%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.701.711.7662.50%58.69%58.48%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 44.64%2.24公平赔率

EV -1.34%

优势 -0.606%

Kelly -1.11%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%44.67%44.66%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.962.102.102.2151.02%47.67%47.62%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：55.36%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：44.64%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.21，期望值为-1.34%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Coolbet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.57%E -1.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.14%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-11 04:30
1xBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-11 04:25
Fanatics🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 04:24
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-10 09:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.34%E -0.606%K -1.11%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-11 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-11 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-11 04:50
BetUS🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.59%E -3.67%K -7.09%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:44
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-10 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-10 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-10 09:50
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 04:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:19
BetRivers🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:54
Unibet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:54
PMU (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 04:55
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-11 04:19
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.89%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.57%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 04:25
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 04:20
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 04:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.89%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.80%E -2.75%K -5.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-11 04:29
ReBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.81%K -9.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-11 04:25
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.81%K -9.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-11 04:29
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.45%E -3.81%K -9.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-11 04:19
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.02%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 04:44
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.25%E -2.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-11 04:25
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.08%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-11 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.21%E -5.62%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-11 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.87%E -6.75%K -17.83%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -12.50%E -6.38%K -13.02%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-11 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.43%E -7.14%K -19.05%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.79%E -0.812%K -1.49%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-11 04:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。