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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-04-19 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 59.10%1.69公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.780%
Kelly -1.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%59.18%58.90%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.591.601.6764.52%62.76%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 40.90%2.45公平赔率
EV +0.203%
优势 +0.083%
Kelly +0.140%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
39.24%40.82%41.10%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.27%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：59.10%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：40.90%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.445。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.450，对应+0.203%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.203%E +0.083%K +0.140%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-18 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.203%E +0.083%K +0.140%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-18 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.84%E -0.767%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:50
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 03:49
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.51%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 03:20
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:34
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.30%E -0.780%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 03:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 03:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 03:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 03:15
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 03:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 03:19
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 03:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 03:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 03:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 03:25
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 03:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 03:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 03:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 03:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.30%E -0.780%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 03:50
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 03:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。