默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

47%

53%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 47.48%2.11公平赔率

EV -0.284%

优势 -0.135%

Kelly -0.258%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

44.59%47.27%47.47%50.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.831.982.002.1054.64%50.44%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 52.52%1.90公平赔率

EV -1.27%

优势 -0.675%

Kelly -1.44%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布

49.87%52.73%52.53%55.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.791.801.8860.61%55.99%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：47.48%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：52.52%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.11。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.10，期望值为-0.284%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.284%E -0.135%K -0.258%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.20%E -5.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-01 15:29
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-02 04:08
LowVig.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-02 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-02 08:24
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -13.35%E -8.09%K -20.54%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-02 08:49
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-02 08:20
Coolbet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:40
BetRivers🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:39
Unibet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.05%E -3.98%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 18:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.27%E -0.675%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-02 08:45
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-02 08:39
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-02 08:40
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.15%E -5.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-01 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.15%E -5.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-01 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.15%E -5.29%K -12.53%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-01 18:10
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-02 08:35
BetMGM🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-02 08:33
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-02 08:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:30
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:30
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.10%E -4.63%K -10.80%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-09-02 08:40
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-02 08:30
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-02 08:35
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -11.21%E -5.99%K -12.88%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -1.27%E -0.675%K -1.44%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-02 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -11.68%E -6.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -8.62%E -4.96%K -11.65%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-02 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -13.10%E -7.16%K -15.79%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -10.20%E -5.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-09-02 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。