默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-18 05:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

41%

59%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 40.91%2.44公平赔率

EV -0.180%

优势 -0.074%

Kelly -0.125%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%40.83%41.10%42.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.122.292.282.4447.17%43.70%43.86%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 59.09%1.69公平赔率

EV -1.91%

优势 -1.15%

Kelly -2.89%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布

57.11%59.17%58.90%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.601.611.6665.79%62.58%62.11%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：40.91%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：59.09%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.444。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.440，期望值为-0.180%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -0.180%E -0.074%K -0.125%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-18 04:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -0.180%E -0.074%K -0.125%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-18 04:54
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.82%E -0.757%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-17 16:14
FanDuel🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.45%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-18 00:00
Pinnacle🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-18 04:50
Coolbet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-17 22:44
Caesars🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-17 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-17 15:34
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -5.50%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-18 04:03
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-18 02:35
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-17 23:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-17 16:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-17 16:15
BetRivers🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:29
PMU (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:29
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-18 04:29
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 04:54
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 04:54
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.87%E -3.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-18 03:38
ReBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.05%E -3.80%K -10.25%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-18 04:04
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 23:59
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 16:24
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-18 00:00
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-17 23:43
BetUS🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -9.59%E -4.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-18 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.00%E -5.85%K -16.67%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-18 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -13.27%E -6.26%K -11.85%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-18 04:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。