L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chunichi Dragons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 64.60%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.63%64.59%68.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.441.5373.53%69.13%69.44%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chunichi Dragons (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.40%2.82cote équitable
EV +7.97%
Avantage +2.61%
Kelly +3.89%
Croissance +0.310%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.31%35.37%35.41%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.702.703.0541.67%36.98%37.04%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -10.21%E -7.34%K -26.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +7.97%E +2.61%K +3.89%G +0.310%4.7%2026-06-13 04:50
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +3.37%E +1.15%K +1.76%G +0.059%4.2%2026-06-13 04:50
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV +3.02%E +1.04%K +1.58%G +0.048%3.8%2026-06-13 04:50
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +2.66%E +0.919%K +1.40%G +0.037%3.4%2026-06-13 04:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.15%E -8.93%K -33.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +2.66%E +0.919%K +1.40%G +0.037%8.0%2026-06-13 04:50
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -0.522%E -0.186%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 04:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 04:29
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:30
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.876%E -0.313%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.71%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 04:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.39%E -2.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 04:50
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.39%E -2.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 04:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.39%E -2.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 04:30
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:30
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 04:30
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.89%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 04:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 04:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 04:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 04:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 04:29
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 04:30
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.69%E -3.89%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 04:29
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 04:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 04:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.16%E -0.761%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -8.66%E -3.36%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 20:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 02:19
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 04:37
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 04:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.04%E -6.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-13 04:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.