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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 54.20%1.85公平赔率
EV +2.98%
优势 +1.57%
Kelly +3.31%
增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
48.65%53.67%54.25%55.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.631.751.741.9061.35%57.17%57.47%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 45.80%2.18公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.928%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布
44.79%46.33%45.75%51.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.802.042.062.1455.56%49.01%48.54%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：54.20%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：45.80%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.85。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.90，对应+2.98%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV +2.98%E +1.57%K +3.31%G +0.099%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -17.56%E -9.75%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 08:54
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 08:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 13:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 00:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.52%E -6.55%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 00:48
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.99%E -0.928%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 08:54
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 08:45
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 07:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:49
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:40
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.61%E -2.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:54
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.15%E -2.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:50
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:49
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:04
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.69%E -3.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 08:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 08:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.60%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 07:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.90%E -1.37%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 08:53
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:48
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.32%E -4.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 08:49
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.40%E -4.97%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -10.03%E -6.04%K -15.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -9.77%E -4.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%EV -11.66%E -7.15%K -18.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 08:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。