默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-08-27 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 56.62%1.77公平赔率

EV -0.918%

优势 -0.525%

Kelly -1.22%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布

53.83%56.66%56.58%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.661.661.7562.50%60.33%60.24%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 43.38%2.31公平赔率

EV -2.39%

优势 -1.06%

Kelly -1.91%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

41.86%43.34%43.42%46.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.982.172.202.2550.51%45.99%45.45%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：56.62%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：43.38%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.75，期望值为-0.918%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -0.918%E -0.525%K -1.22%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.20%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-27 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -0.918%E -0.525%K -1.22%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -11.50%E -5.64%K -11.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-27 08:45
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.18%E -1.86%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 08:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.18%E -1.86%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 08:55
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.75%E -2.21%K -5.36%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-27 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.32%E -2.55%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-27 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.32%E -2.55%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-27 08:55
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.32%E -2.55%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.55%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-27 08:43
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.88%E -2.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 08:30
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.88%E -2.91%K -7.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.45%E -3.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-27 08:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.45%E -3.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-27 08:50
ReBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 08:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 08:55
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.45%E -3.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.01%E -3.62%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 20:54
BetRivers🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 20:54
Unibet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 21:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.15%E -4.36%K -11.17%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-26 21:03
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.28%E -5.11%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-26 12:59
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.28%E -5.11%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-27 00:49
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.28%E -5.11%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-27 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.28%E -5.11%K -13.35%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-08-27 08:55
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.50%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.50%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.84%E -5.49%K -14.50%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.41%E -5.88%K -15.68%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-27 08:45
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.41%E -5.88%K -15.68%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-27 00:48
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -9.41%E -5.88%K -15.68%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.10%E -7.12%K -14.39%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-27 08:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。