默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 47.64%2.10公平赔率

EV -0.913%

优势 -0.439%

Kelly -0.845%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布

46.17%47.63%47.64%48.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.901.982.002.0852.63%50.51%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 52.36%1.91公平赔率

EV -3.13%

优势 -1.69%

Kelly -3.68%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布

51.35%52.37%52.36%53.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.741.791.801.8557.47%55.75%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：47.64%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：52.36%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.10。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.08，期望值为-0.913%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -0.913%E -0.439%K -0.845%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-17 08:50
1xBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -0.913%E -0.439%K -0.845%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-17 08:44
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.23%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-17 08:44
BetUS🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -8.37%E -4.78%K -11.16%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-17 08:54
Coolbet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-17 08:49
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-17 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-17 07:04
LowVig.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-17 07:04
FanDuel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-17 08:45
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-17 08:54
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.70%E -2.58%K -5.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-17 08:54
BetRivers🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:54
Unibet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-16 16:55
Bovada🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-17 08:48
William Hill🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -5.20%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.13%E -1.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-16 13:45
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.79%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-16 22:24
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 08:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-16 13:15
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-16 13:15
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-16 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.27%E -3.50%K -7.94%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-17 08:50
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.37%E -4.78%K -11.16%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-16 22:23
Everygame🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.37%E -4.78%K -11.16%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-17 08:39
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.89%E -5.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-04-17 08:44
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-16 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-16 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-16 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.49%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.75%E -3.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-17 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.49%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.89%E -5.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-04-17 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。