Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

54%

46%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Casa)

Previsione 54.37%1.84quota equa

EV +0.590%

Vantaggio +0.319%

Kelly +0.694%

Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

51.07%54.02%54.67%56.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.651.751.741.8560.61%57.14%57.47%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.63%2.19quota equa

EV -1.90%

Vantaggio -0.884%

Kelly -1.65%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

43.72%45.98%45.33%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.912.032.052.1552.36%49.16%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
William Hill	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV +0.590%E +0.319%K +0.694%G +0.004%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -9.20%E -4.62%K -9.29%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-08 08:45
Coolbet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +0.590%E +0.319%K +0.694%G +0.004%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -10.57%E -5.39%K -11.01%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-08 08:49
Caesars	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.498%E -0.272%K -0.600%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.85%E -6.73%K -14.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-07 07:45
Unibet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.48%E -5.92%K -12.22%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-08 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.94%E -6.19%K -12.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 08:54
BetRivers	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.94%E -6.19%K -12.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 08:55
Unibet (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.94%E -6.19%K -12.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 08:54
PMU (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.94%E -6.19%K -12.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 08:55
Bally Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -11.94%E -6.19%K -12.84%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 08:54
888sport	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.85%E -6.73%K -14.12%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-08 08:45
1xBet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.67%E -1.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.64%E -2.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-08 08:44
Pinnacle	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.90%E -0.884%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-08 08:50
LowVig.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-08 08:44
BetOnline.ag	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-08 08:45
Fliff	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -11.03%E -5.65%K -11.61%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-08 08:45
MyBookie.ag	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-08 08:43
Betsson	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-08 08:54
Fanatics	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.90%E -0.884%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-08 08:54
BetUS	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.01%E -2.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-08 08:55
BetMGM	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.29%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-08 08:49
888sport (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-08 08:55
Mr Green (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-08 08:55
Coral	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.90%E -0.884%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-08 08:55
DraftKings	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.90%E -0.884%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-08 08:55
FanDuel	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.07%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-08 08:55
theScore Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-08 08:55
Hard Rock Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-08 08:55
Tipico (DE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-08 08:55
Everygame	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.57%E -4.45%K -10.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-08 08:44
ReBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-08 08:55
Betway	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.11%E -4.80%K -11.75%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.46%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-08 08:55
Bovada	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.90%E -0.884%K -1.65%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 08:54
BoyleSports	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.20%E -5.51%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-08 08:54
Unibet (FR)	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-05-08 08:55

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.