默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

55%

45%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)

预测 54.92%1.82公平赔率

EV -1.69%

优势 -0.941%

Kelly -2.13%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布

52.77%54.86%54.85%56.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.611.731.731.7962.11%57.91%57.80%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 45.08%2.22公平赔率

EV -0.834%

优势 -0.379%

Kelly -0.695%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

43.55%45.14%45.15%47.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.972.062.062.2050.76%48.47%48.43%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Toyo Carp (主队)：54.92%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：45.08%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.22。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-0.834%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
Unibet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
BetRivers🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.69%E -0.941%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 08:35
1xBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-28 08:40
Betsson🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-28 08:40
NordicBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-28 08:40
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-28 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.834%E -0.379%K -0.695%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-28 08:45
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-27 14:43
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-28 08:54
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-28 01:00
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-27 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-27 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-27 13:55
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-28 00:59
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 08:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 08:40
Fliff🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-28 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-28 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-28 08:51
ReBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-28 08:45
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-28 08:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-28 08:45
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -10.47%E -6.43%K -16.62%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.78%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-28 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -11.57%E -7.19%K -18.97%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -11.20%E -5.69%K -11.55%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-28 08:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。