L’École des cotes

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prévision 40.67%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.350%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.241%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%40.74%40.56%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.332.4547.17%43.19%43.01%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hanshin Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.33%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -4.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.26%59.44%60.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6465.79%63.01%62.89%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.350%E -0.143%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.48%E -2.79%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-27 04:49
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.350%E -0.143%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.48%E -2.79%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-27 04:49
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.38%E -0.993%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 15:36
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.30%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-27 04:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.48%E -2.79%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 18:09
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 15:39
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-27 04:49
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.79%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 03:49
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 02:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:09
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 02:49
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 04:49
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 04:49
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 04:49
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 04:49
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 16:09
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 04:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.48%E -2.79%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 04:19
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 15:38
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.67%E -3.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 04:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.67%E -3.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 15:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.67%E -3.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 04:48
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 22:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 15:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:00
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 15:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 17:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 15:39
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 17:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 17:39
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.86%E -4.37%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-27 04:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 03:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 04:50
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -13.77%E -6.50%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-27 04:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.