默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-18 09:08 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

70%

30%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 69.57%1.44公平赔率

EV -3.99%

优势 -2.89%

Kelly -10.51%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布

67.76%69.57%69.51%71.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.301.351.351.3876.92%73.92%74.07%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 30.43%3.29公平赔率

EV +1.64%

优势 +0.491%

Kelly +0.700%

增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 3.34

博彩公司预测分布

28.78%30.43%30.49%32.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.803.083.003.3435.71%32.46%33.33%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：69.57%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：30.43%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.34，对应+1.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.700%G +0.011%	4.0%	2026-08-18 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.64%E +0.491%K +0.700%G +0.011%	4.0%	2026-08-18 08:49
1xBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV +0.726%E +0.219%K +0.314%G +0.002%	3.7%	2026-08-18 08:34
Pinnacle🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.68%G +0.000%	3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV +0.117%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-18 08:50
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.78%E -5.06%K -19.93%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.10%E -0.338%K -0.489%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-18 08:24
DraftKings🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.62%E -0.819%K -1.19%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-18 08:49
NordicBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.62%E -0.819%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 08:49
Betsson🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.62%E -0.819%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 08:49
Bovada🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.65%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.62%E -0.819%K -1.19%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-18 08:43
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.56%E -7.35%K -31.87%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.62%E -0.819%K -1.19%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-18 08:29
BetUS🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.68%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -3.84%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-18 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -5.06%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-18 08:29
Coolbet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.68%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-18 08:35
BetMGM🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-17 23:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.65%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-18 08:24
ReBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.78%E -5.06%K -19.93%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-18 08:24
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:05
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-17 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-17 12:09
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-17 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-17 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.39%E -3.96%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-17 12:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-17 22:44
Betway🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.65%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-17 22:45
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.65%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-17 23:39
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-17 12:43
Fanatics🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-18 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.86%E -6.77%K -28.59%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-18 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -9.56%E -7.35%K -31.87%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%	12.6%	2026-08-18 08:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。