默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

67%

33%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 66.92%1.49公平赔率

EV -2.96%

优势 -2.04%

Kelly -6.58%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布

65.76%66.89%66.97%67.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.411.411.4573.53%70.86%70.92%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 33.08%3.02公平赔率

EV -2.75%

优势 -0.936%

Kelly -1.42%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.94

博彩公司预测分布

32.41%33.11%33.03%34.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.652.832.852.9437.74%35.31%35.09%34.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：66.92%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：33.08%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.02。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.94，期望值为-2.75%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-07 08:55
1xBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -5.07%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-04-07 06:10
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-07 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-07 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.41%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-07 06:10
William Hill🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-07 04:45
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-07 06:05
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-07 08:30
NordicBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-07 07:01
Betsson🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-07 07:01
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-07 06:05
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-07 04:20
FanDuel🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -2.75%E -0.936%K -1.42%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-07 06:05
Coolbet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.08%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-07 04:19
Unibet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-06 15:24
BetRivers🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-06 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-06 15:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-06 15:24
ReBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-07 08:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-07 06:14
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-06 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-06 16:45
Fliff🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-07 06:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-07 06:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-06 16:45
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-06 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-06 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-06 16:45
Everygame🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-07 06:05
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.51%K -15.77%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -7.65%E -5.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.34%E -4.66%K -7.48%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-04-07 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.32%E -6.07%K -22.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-07 06:10
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.99%E -6.61%K -24.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-04-06 22:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。