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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 59.72%1.67公平赔率
EV -2.66%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -4.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
58.14%59.74%59.55%61.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.571.571.6366.23%63.63%63.69%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 40.28%2.48公平赔率
EV +0.306%
优势 +0.123%
Kelly +0.205%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.90%40.26%40.45%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.332.352.4946.73%42.89%42.55%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：59.72%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：40.28%。 对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.48。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.49，对应+0.306%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.306%E +0.123%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-14 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.306%E +0.123%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-14 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.31%E -0.533%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.66%E -1.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 08:30
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.65%E -3.57%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.65%E -3.57%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.04%E -5.22%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.32%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 05:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.13%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 08:40
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -2.66%E -1.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 07:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.53%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 05:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 08:54
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.23%E -6.07%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.33%E -2.27%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 08:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.86%E -2.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.14%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.54%E -2.82%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 08:39
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.05%E -3.18%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 08:39
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.35%E -3.19%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 08:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.26%E -2.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:33
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 08:10
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.25%E -3.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.84%E -4.39%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.36%E -4.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -11.38%E -5.17%K -9.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -9.83%E -6.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -13.79%E -6.45%K -12.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 08:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。