默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 61.27%1.63公平赔率

EV -1.97%

优势 -1.23%

Kelly -3.28%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布

60.54%61.26%61.25%62.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.461.541.541.6068.49%65.01%65.15%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 38.73%2.58公平赔率

EV -2.01%

优势 -0.796%

Kelly -1.32%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.53

博彩公司预测分布

37.78%38.74%38.75%39.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.242.432.452.5344.64%41.19%40.82%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：61.27%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：38.73%。对于“Hanshin Tigers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.63。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.60，期望值为-1.97%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.97%E -1.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-09 05:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.97%E -1.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-09 05:35
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.58%E -1.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.72%E -1.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-09 08:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.81%E -2.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.01%E -0.796%K -1.32%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-09 08:45
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.81%E -2.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-08 15:59
BetUS🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.81%E -2.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-09 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-09 08:45
Coolbet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.42%E -2.83%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-09 08:30
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-09 08:30
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.03%E -3.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-09 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:45
Unibet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:45
BetRivers🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-09 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.64%E -3.67%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 16:50
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.40%E -0.953%K -1.58%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-08 15:09
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-09 08:30
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-09 01:49
ReBet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-09 08:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-08 15:09
Fliff🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-08 17:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-08 19:05
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.82%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 17:10
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.26%E -4.09%K -11.81%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.98%E -3.82%K -6.66%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.09%E -5.40%K -16.19%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-09 08:39
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.09%E -5.40%K -16.19%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-09 01:34
Fanatics🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.71%E -5.84%K -17.77%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.03%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-09 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.71%E -5.84%K -17.77%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.92%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-09 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%EV -10.55%E -7.22%K -22.93%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%EV -13.24%E -5.91%K -10.68%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-09 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。