默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-09-06 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率

EV -0.585%

优势 -0.332%

Kelly -0.770%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

53.32%56.49%56.34%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.671.671.7663.69%59.79%59.88%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 43.51%2.30公平赔率

EV -0.787%

优势 -0.345%

Kelly -0.615%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%43.51%43.66%46.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.012.152.152.2849.75%46.41%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：56.49%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：43.51%。对于“Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.76，期望值为-0.585%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -0.585%E -0.332%K -0.770%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -12.54%E -6.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-06 03:55
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-06 03:50
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-06 03:50
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 01:19
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-06 03:50
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.57%E -2.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-06 01:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -0.787%E -0.345%K -0.615%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-06 03:30
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-06 03:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-06 03:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-06 03:25
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-05 23:02
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-06 03:50
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-06 03:48
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-06 03:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-06 03:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-06 03:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-05 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:45
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:35
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-06 03:40
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-06 03:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-06 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-06 03:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -11.32%E -7.21%K -19.86%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -11.67%E -5.75%K -11.33%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-06 03:43

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。