默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-07-01 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 59.40%1.68公平赔率

EV -3.77%

优势 -2.33%

Kelly -6.09%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

58.14%59.40%59.43%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.501.591.601.6266.67%63.00%62.50%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 40.60%2.46公平赔率

EV -1.34%

优势 -0.552%

Kelly -0.937%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%40.60%40.57%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.322.302.4346.51%43.20%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：59.40%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：40.60%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-1.34%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.15%E -0.893%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-01 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.15%E -0.893%K -1.53%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-01 08:49
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-01 04:30
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-01 08:49
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 13:28
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.34%E -0.552%K -0.937%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-01 08:50
William Hill🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-01 05:29
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-01 06:09
BetUS🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-01 08:49
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-01 00:19
Unibet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
BetRivers🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.43%E -3.26%K -5.80%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 18:39
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-01 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-01 07:29
FanDuel🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-01 04:29
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.60%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-01 04:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-01 04:29
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-01 08:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-01 04:28
ReBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-01 08:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-01 04:29
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 03:09
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 03:09
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-01 00:09
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-01 04:29
Everygame🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-01 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.21%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-01 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.68%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-01 04:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -10.90%E -7.27%K -21.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.71%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-07-01 08:39

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。