L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 62.53%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%62.35%62.50%63.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.81%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orix Buffaloes (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.47%2.67cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.69%37.65%37.50%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.312.492.502.6443.29%40.17%40.00%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.83%E -1.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 08:10
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.69%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-25 04:30
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.69%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-25 04:29
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:09
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.46%E -1.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 08:09
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.69%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 08:39
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.07%E -0.406%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-25 08:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.57%E -0.988%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 08:50
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.57%E -0.988%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 08:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.32%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 16:10
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 02:40
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -7.44%E -3.01%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 08:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 14:08
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.57%E -0.988%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 08:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.57%E -0.988%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 08:50
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.58%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.57%E -0.988%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 08:49
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.58%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.32%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 08:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 08:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 02:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 02:39
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 08:50
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 02:40
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 14:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-25 08:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 23:19
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.83%E -4.59%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 08:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-25 08:49
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.60%EV -9.96%E -6.92%K -22.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 38.40%EV -13.44%E -5.82%K -10.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-25 08:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.