L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 53.55%1.87cote équitable
EV +0.683%
Avantage +0.363%
Kelly +0.776%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%53.85%53.39%56.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.741.8860.24%57.12%57.47%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.45%2.15cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.991%
Kelly +1.82%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.01%46.15%46.61%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.052.052.2053.48%48.88%48.78%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.18%E +0.991%K +1.82%G +0.040%5.3%2026-05-22 15:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.10%E -6.69%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +2.18%E +0.991%K +1.82%G +0.040%5.7%2026-05-23 04:49
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.10%E -6.69%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +2.18%E +0.991%K +1.82%G +0.040%5.7%2026-05-23 04:49
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.10%E -6.69%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +2.18%E +0.991%K +1.82%G +0.040%5.7%2026-05-23 04:49
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -11.10%E -6.69%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +2.18%E +0.991%K +1.82%G +0.040%5.7%2026-05-23 04:49
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.42%E -4.92%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +1.71%E +0.783%K +1.44%G +0.025%4.1%2026-05-23 04:29
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -4.92%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.143%E -0.067%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.56%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:19
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 04:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 04:50
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 04:40
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 04:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.67%E -2.62%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.67%E -2.62%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.81%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:29
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 04:38
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +0.683%E +0.363%K +0.776%G +0.005%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -6.65%E -3.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 04:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -0.923%E -0.499%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -6.65%E -3.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 04:49
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.99%E -1.09%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 04:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 04:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:29
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.89%E -4.58%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 04:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 04:39
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.81%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 04:49
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 04:39
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -7.89%E -4.58%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -12.22%E -6.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 04:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.148%E +0.079%K +0.170%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 04:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.