默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-09-08 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 65.84%1.52公平赔率

EV -2.56%

优势 -1.73%

Kelly -5.33%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布

64.16%65.73%65.82%67.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.431.431.4873.53%70.05%69.93%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 34.16%2.93公平赔率

EV -1.62%

优势 -0.562%

Kelly -0.861%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布

32.46%34.27%34.18%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.752.782.8840.00%36.38%35.97%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：65.84%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：34.16%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.88，期望值为-1.62%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 06:19
1xBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.84%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-08 08:19
Pinnacle🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -3.87%E -2.65%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -1.62%E -0.562%K -0.861%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-08 08:35
BetUS🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.87%E -2.65%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-08 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.30%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 05:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.30%E -0.805%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 05:10
Betsson🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 07:20
NordicBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-08 07:20
Coolbet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-08 06:09
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 08:35
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.53%E -3.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-07 11:23
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 06:39
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 06:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 06:39
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.19%E -3.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-08 06:20
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.99%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-08 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 08:48
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 08:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.60%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-08 08:45
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.49%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-08 08:35
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:35
BetRivers🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:35
Unibet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-08 07:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.82%E -5.59%K -19.56%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-08 08:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.82%E -5.59%K -19.56%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 08:45
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.82%E -5.59%K -19.56%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-08 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.14%E -6.62%K -24.05%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.80%E -7.15%K -26.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -2.64%E -0.928%K -1.43%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-08 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.05%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -14.60%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-09-08 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。