默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间: 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 62.85%1.59公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -2.51%
Kelly -7.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
61.07%62.81%62.81%65.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.501.501.5369.93%66.75%66.67%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 37.15%2.69公平赔率
EV +2.92%
优势 +1.05%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.048%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
34.98%37.19%37.19%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.332.542.552.7742.92%39.41%39.22%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队):62.85%;Chiba Lotte Marines (客队):37.15%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.69。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.77,对应+2.92%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +2.92%E +1.05%K +1.65%G +0.048%3.2%2026-08-13 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +2.92%E +1.05%K +1.65%G +0.048%3.2%2026-08-13 08:44
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -0.798%E -0.299%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 08:50
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 08:45
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.85%E -2.51%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 08:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 08:39
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 06:04
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.40%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 06:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 06:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:44
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.87%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 06:04
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 05:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 05:05
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 06:05
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.99%E -4.72%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.11%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 06:04
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.85%E -2.51%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 23:35
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.85%E -2.51%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 05:54
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.36%E -4.27%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.87%E -6.12%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-13 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.13%E -7.08%K -23.56%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -13.43%E -5.76%K -10.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 08:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。