默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

55%

45%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 55.46%1.80公平赔率

EV -1.83%

优势 -1.03%

Kelly -2.37%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

54.09%55.50%55.55%57.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.611.701.711.7762.11%58.81%58.65%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 44.54%2.25公平赔率

EV -2.02%

优势 -0.920%

Kelly -1.69%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

42.97%44.50%44.45%45.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.962.112.102.2051.02%47.50%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：55.46%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：44.54%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.80。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.77，期望值为-1.83%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.83%E -1.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-14 08:44
1xBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-14 08:54
Fanatics🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-14 08:49
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.70%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-14 08:49
BetRivers🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:33
PMU (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:34
Unibet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.37%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-14 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.920%K -1.69%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.920%K -1.69%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 08:29
Coolbet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 08:40
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-13 14:14
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-14 08:49
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:49
ReBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 08:49
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-14 08:39
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-13 23:59
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.26%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.70%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-14 08:49
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-13 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-13 14:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-14 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-13 14:14
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.37%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.70%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-13 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-14 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.15%E -6.26%K -16.37%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-14 08:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.54%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -12.71%E -6.49%K -13.24%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-14 08:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。