默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 43.07%2.32公平赔率

EV -0.943%

优势 -0.410%

Kelly -0.725%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.71%43.09%42.91%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.032.182.182.3049.26%45.80%45.87%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 56.93%1.76公平赔率

EV -3.79%

优势 -2.24%

Kelly -5.49%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.99%56.91%57.09%58.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.661.671.6963.69%60.38%59.88%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：43.07%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：56.93%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.32。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.30，期望值为-0.943%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.943%E -0.410%K -0.725%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-12 08:45
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 06:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 08:40
1xBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 08:50
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-12 08:34
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-12 08:34
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-12 08:34
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-12 08:53
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.96%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-12 07:00
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.39%E -1.98%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-12 06:59
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 23:29
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-12 07:00
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-12 07:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-12 06:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-12 07:05
BetUS🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-12 08:54
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-11 12:47
PMU (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:54
Unibet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:54
BetRivers🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:50
Bally Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 12:49
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 12:49
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 13:04
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-12 08:05
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-12 06:59
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-11 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-12 07:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.71%E -5.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.57%E -6.19%K -12.20%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.62%E -6.76%K -18.63%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-12 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。