默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-01 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 60.10%1.66公平赔率

EV -0.837%

优势 -0.507%

Kelly -1.29%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

57.14%59.93%60.10%61.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.491.571.571.6567.11%63.66%63.69%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 39.90%2.51公平赔率

EV -0.247%

优势 -0.099%

Kelly -0.165%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布

38.73%40.07%39.90%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.67%42.55%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：60.10%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：39.90%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.50，期望值为-0.247%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.837%E -0.507%K -1.29%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-31 20:09
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.64%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-01 08:35
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.24%E -2.01%K -5.31%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.21%E -6.61%K -12.36%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-31 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.44%E -0.585%K -0.983%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.44%E -0.585%K -0.983%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-01 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.44%E -2.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.43%E -2.29%K -3.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-01 08:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.247%E -0.099%K -0.165%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-01 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.84%E -1.59%K -2.72%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-01 08:50
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 08:35
NordicBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 08:35
Unibet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-01 08:39
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.24%E -0.915%K -1.55%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-01 08:55
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-01 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:40
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 08:40
Fliff🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-01 08:50
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-01 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-01 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.64%E -3.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-01 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.25%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-01 08:54
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-01 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-01 08:50
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.25%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-01 08:35
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.25%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-01 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-01 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-01 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.25%E -6.13%K -18.14%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-01 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 59.51%EV -10.45%E -7.02%K -21.33%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 40.49%EV -12.62%E -5.76%K -10.60%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-09-01 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。