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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 52.10%1.92公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -2.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.16%52.31%54.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.691.801.801.8859.17%55.62%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 47.90%2.09公平赔率
EV +2.99%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +2.60%
增长率 +0.077%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
45.29%47.84%47.69%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.961.962.1554.64%50.97%51.02%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：52.10%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：47.90%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.15，对应+2.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV +2.99%E +1.39%K +2.60%G +0.077%2.7%2026-09-03 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.78%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.80%E -0.880%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 08:55
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.35%E -5.37%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.80%E -0.880%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 08:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.78%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 08:55
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -4.68%E -2.35%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.05%E -1.09%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 08:30
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.64%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.64%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.64%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.64%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.64%E -2.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.57%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.95%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 08:54
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.78%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 08:55
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.78%E -4.40%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 08:55
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.35%E -5.37%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:49
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.66%E -2.54%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -10.39%E -6.04%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -9.47%E -5.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -11.95%E -7.07%K -17.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.91%E -5.86%K -12.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.54%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 08:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。