默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

51%

49%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 50.83%1.97公平赔率

EV +1.67%

优势 +0.833%

Kelly +1.67%

增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布

46.95%50.66%51.05%53.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.731.871.872.0057.80%53.56%53.48%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 49.17%2.03公平赔率

EV -0.683%

优势 -0.338%

Kelly -0.670%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布

46.95%49.34%48.95%53.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.771.891.902.0256.50%52.93%52.77%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：50.83%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：49.17%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.00，对应+1.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +1.67%E +0.833%K +1.67%G +0.028%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.97%E -7.33%K -16.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-04 08:10
Unibet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -0.875%E -0.449%K -0.921%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -9.53%E -5.18%K -11.35%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 08:49
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.875%E -0.449%K -0.921%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.50%E -6.39%K -14.37%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-03 19:27
PMU (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -1.38%E -0.713%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -1.38%E -0.713%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
BetRivers🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -1.38%E -0.713%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -1.38%E -0.713%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
Bally Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -1.38%E -0.713%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -10.02%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:50
Coolbet🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.07%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-04 08:50
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-04 08:39
Betsson🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.42%E -1.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-04 08:39
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.93%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.14%E -1.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-04 08:44
LowVig.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-04 08:40
BetUS🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-04 08:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.683%E -0.338%K -0.670%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-04 08:40
FanDuel🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 08:49
888sport🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.47%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.98%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-04 08:39
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-04 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.63%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.58%E -3.46%K -7.31%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-04 08:49
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.03%E -5.66%K -13.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.67%E -0.833%K -1.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-04 08:38
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.86%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-04 08:50
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-04 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.01%E -6.08%K -13.59%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-06-04 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。