La scuola delle quote

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

Inizio: 2026-05-03 05:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa)

Previsione 41.74%2.40quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -0.813%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.90%41.57%41.71%42.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.292.3546.51%44.23%43.67%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.26%1.72quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.11%58.43%58.29%60.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.03%62.11%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -1.91%E -0.813%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.12%E -5.84%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 03:59
William Hill2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.33%E -0.994%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.04%E -3.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 04:49
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 04:50
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.16%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 04:50
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.16%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 04:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.71%E -1.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 04:39
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 04:46
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 04:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 04:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 03:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.70%E -6.26%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 03:55
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.41%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.71%E -1.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 04:55
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.25%E -2.31%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 04:38
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.87%E -2.35%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 04:45
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 04:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 03:50
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.75%E -3.51%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 04:55
MyBookie.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.75%E -3.51%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 04:40
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 04:40
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 03:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.24%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 04:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.95%E -5.03%K -13.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 04:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.