默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-05-02 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 48.01%2.08公平赔率

EV -1.58%

优势 -0.771%

Kelly -1.50%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布

46.75%48.11%48.00%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.871.951.952.0553.48%51.41%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 51.99%1.92公平赔率

EV -1.22%

优势 -0.641%

Kelly -1.35%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%51.89%52.00%53.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.751.821.811.9057.14%55.00%55.25%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：48.01%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：51.99%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.90，期望值为-1.22%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.771%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-02 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.58%E -0.771%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-02 04:35
Pinnacle🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-02 04:40
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-02 04:45
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-02 04:45
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 04:50
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.95%K -6.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-02 04:50
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-02 04:50
William Hill🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.46%E -2.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-01 23:25
FanDuel🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.94%E -2.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.86%E -2.65%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-02 04:45
1xBet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -1.22%E -0.641%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-02 04:35
Coolbet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.90%E -3.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-02 03:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
ReBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:45
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-02 04:38
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.94%E -3.88%K -8.78%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-02 04:44
Everygame🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 04:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 02:35
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-02 04:50
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-01 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-01 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-01 23:20
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.35%K -9.12%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.02%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-02 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.26%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-05-02 04:45
BetUS🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:35
Unibet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -3.30%E -1.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-02 04:55
BetRivers🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-01 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-01 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-01 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-01 19:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.82%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-01 19:19
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.47%K -11.75%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-01 13:23

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。