La scuola delle quote

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

Inizio: 2026-05-01 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Casa)

Previsione 54.22%1.84quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%54.06%54.25%55.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.741.751.8059.52%57.39%57.31%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.78%2.18quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.954%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.88%45.94%45.75%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1451.28%48.98%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 00:04
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 00:04
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.04%E -0.954%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 08:50
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 07:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 02:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 04:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 08:25
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 03:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 08:24
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:19
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:19
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:19
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:20
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 08:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 02:34
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 02:35
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 02:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 02:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 00:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 03:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 03:54
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 08:04
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 05:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 02:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 02:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 03:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 04:55
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.90%E -5.30%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.36%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.