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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-04-21 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 48.64%2.06公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.620%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
47.30%48.61%48.56%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.931.942.0354.05%51.79%51.55%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 51.36%1.95公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -0.997%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.39%51.44%52.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.70%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：48.64%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：51.36%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.03，期望值为-1.26%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -1.26%E -0.620%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.47%E -2.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 08:40
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.47%E -2.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 06:59
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 06:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 08:30
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 08:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.12%E -5.78%K -13.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.64%E -2.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.04%E -3.89%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.61%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 07:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.90%E -0.997%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 12:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 06:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 06:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 07:09
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 08:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 07:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 06:54
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.55%E -4.20%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 13:28
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.47%E -2.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 08:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -9.53%E -5.12%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 08:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.01%E -3.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 22:33
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。