默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 43.22%2.31公平赔率

EV -2.74%

优势 -1.22%

Kelly -2.20%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

42.71%43.30%43.13%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.172.172.2547.62%46.07%46.08%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 56.78%1.76公平赔率

EV -2.91%

优势 -1.70%

Kelly -4.10%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%56.70%56.87%57.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.611.661.671.7162.11%60.13%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：43.22%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：56.78%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.25，期望值为-2.74%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-14 08:55
DraftKings🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-04-14 04:55
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-14 08:55
1xBet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-13 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-13 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-13 12:10
NordicBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-13 23:49
Betsson🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-13 23:49
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-13 18:25
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-13 23:55
Unibet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:14
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:14
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 20:20
William Hill🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-13 10:53
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-13 10:49
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 10:25
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-13 18:25
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-14 06:10
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-14 08:55
Fliff🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-13 20:55
Everygame🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-13 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-13 15:49
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-14 08:55
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.59%E -5.34%K -14.09%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-04-13 23:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.50%E -3.50%K -6.58%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.75%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-13 18:30
BetUS🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-13 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-13 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-13 10:45
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-13 10:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.23%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.59%E -5.34%K -14.09%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-04-14 08:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。