默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

开赛时间: 2026-03-19 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 50.88%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -3.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.96%50.98%52.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.871.871.9154.95%53.58%53.48%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Nationals (客队)

预测 49.12%2.04公平赔率
EV -0.295%
优势 -0.145%
Kelly -0.286%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
47.40%49.04%49.02%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.941.942.0353.48%51.58%51.55%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):50.88%;Washington Nationals (客队):49.12%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.03,期望值为-0.295%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 13:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:28
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 02:05
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:09
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:24
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.72%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 14:29
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 13:09
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -0.295%E -0.145%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 16:44
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 15:09
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.786%E -0.389%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 16:38
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%0.5%2026-03-19 16:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-19 16:39
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%2.7%2026-03-19 16:39