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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Philadelphia Phillies v Minnesota Twins

开赛时间： 2026-03-17 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 62.58%1.60公平赔率
EV -2.38%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -4.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
61.56%62.46%62.77%63.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.55%65.36%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 37.42%2.67公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.889%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.61

博彩公司预测分布
36.89%37.54%37.23%38.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.532.512.6140.82%39.47%39.76%38.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：62.58%；Minnesota Twins (客队)：37.42%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.67。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.61，期望值为-2.32%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 16:55
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.889%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.889%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 14:09
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -3.07%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 13:39
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.57%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.63%E -2.36%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 13:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.44%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.69%E -2.26%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.26%E -2.78%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.31%E -3.39%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.89%E -3.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 16:25
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.51%E -3.65%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.31%E -3.39%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 16:05
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.76%E -4.54%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 14:54
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.01%E -5.45%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.44%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 14:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-17 16:40
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-03-17 16:35
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%2.3%2026-03-17 16:45