默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-03-21 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers (主队)

预测 56.66%1.76公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
55.12%56.61%56.70%57.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.691.691.7361.73%59.25%59.35%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 43.34%2.31公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.60%43.39%43.30%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.63%45.45%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Detroit Tigers (主队):56.66%;New York Yankees (客队):43.34%。 对于“Detroit Tigers (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.73,期望值为-1.98%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.55%E -1.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.38%E -2.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 13:14
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.11%E -1.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:09
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 13:50
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.25%E -2.51%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.81%E -2.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 13:25
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.81%E -2.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 13:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.22%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:15
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.38%E -3.22%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:10
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.21%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 15:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-21 16:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-21 16:54
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-03-21 16:39