默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

开赛时间: 2026-03-22 19:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 64.25%1.56公平赔率
EV +2.16%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +3.67%
增长率 +0.079%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
60.10%64.28%64.27%66.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.501.501.5969.44%66.67%66.67%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

预测 35.75%2.80公平赔率
EV +0.090%
优势 +0.032%
Kelly +0.050%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.96%35.72%35.73%39.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.642.652.8042.55%37.87%37.74%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):64.25%;Milwaukee Brewers (客队):35.75%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.56。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.59,对应+2.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +2.16%E +1.36%K +3.67%G +0.079%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -14.21%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:30
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV +0.235%E +0.151%K +0.420%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -16.00%E -6.81%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.05%E -0.682%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 18:24
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.05%E -0.682%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.05%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.05%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 18:30
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:38
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.624%E -0.225%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 18:29
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.090%E +0.032%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 18:55
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.090%E +0.032%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-22 19:00
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 59.77%2.11I 47.39%NM 40.23%17.8%2026-03-22 18:55