默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Angels

开赛时间: 2026-03-18 01:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 59.58%1.68公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -3.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.64

博彩公司预测分布
58.16%59.45%59.60%60.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.611.611.6463.69%62.13%62.11%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Angels (客队)

预测 40.42%2.47公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
40.00%40.55%40.40%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.352.352.4043.86%42.54%42.46%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):59.58%;Los Angeles Angels (客队):40.42%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.68。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.64,期望值为-2.29%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 12:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 22:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:04
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.48%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:10
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 22:10
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.08%E -2.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 22:05
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 00:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 00:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-03-17 22:50
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%1.8%2026-03-18 00:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-18 00:45