默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox v Minnesota Twins

开赛时间: 2026-03-19 22:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox (主队)

预测 56.12%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -2.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.09%56.14%56.18%57.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.631.701.701.7561.35%58.74%58.82%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 43.88%2.28公平赔率
EV -0.835%
优势 -0.369%
Kelly -0.662%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
42.49%43.86%43.82%45.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.162.152.2648.78%46.31%46.51%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Boston Red Sox (主队):56.12%;Minnesota Twins (客队):43.88%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.26,期望值为-0.835%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.54%E -3.07%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -1.79%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.54%E -3.07%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 16:09
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 21:47
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 21:49
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.54%E -3.07%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:53
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.22%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 10:23
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -0.835%E -0.369%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 20:15
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.835%E -0.369%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:54
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:00
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-19 21:54
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%2.4%2026-03-19 21:39
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-03-19 20:30