默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cleveland Guardians

开赛时间: 2026-03-24 19:40 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)

预测 54.37%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.58%
优势 -0.875%
Kelly -1.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
52.74%54.21%54.48%55.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.761.741.8158.48%56.97%57.47%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 45.63%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.990%
优势 -0.456%
Kelly -0.846%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
44.07%45.79%45.52%47.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.082.092.1750.00%48.10%47.85%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arizona Diamondbacks (主队):54.37%;Cleveland Guardians (客队):45.63%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.17,期望值为-0.990%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.58%E -0.875%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:55
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -1.58%E -0.875%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.83%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.13%E -1.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.01%E -2.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.76%E -2.12%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.30%E -2.44%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -2.81%E -1.32%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.85%E -2.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.64%E -2.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.90%E -0.885%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.90%E -0.885%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.90%E -0.885%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 17:09
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 18:30
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 18:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.39%E -3.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 19:14
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.990%E -0.456%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 19:35
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.02%E -4.11%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.18%E -1.99%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 19:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-24 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-24 19:35
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%3.3%2026-03-24 19:34